After some respectable weather today, big changes are on the way for the end of the weekend and early next week with snow and frigid temperatures on the way. There are still significant differences regarding the amount of snow with the U.S. models showing little if any. However, the EURO and Canadian show a much different scenario with 1-4" for much of my area. Let's take a look at the latest model snowfall forecasts and the two different camps. First the U.S. models.
The GFS
The 12K NAM
Now the EURO AND CANADIAN, the snowier solutions.
The EURO
The CANADIAN
So who's correct? Personally I'm leaning heavily on the EURO and CANADIAN output which would mean a good 1-3, perhaps 4 inches of snow for my area Sunday night and Monday morning. Both of these models have been very consistent which can't be said for the GFS. Aside from that the EURO is just a better model and when there's doubt, don't pout, roll with the EURO. That's a TSwails original!
Since we still have discrepancies this is not a high confidence forecast yet but I'm hoping we get movement one way or the other later tonight, Sunday morning at the latest. Stand by on that.
If we do get snow, and I am banking on it, record cold is quite possible Tuesday morning when lows could get close to zero. The Canadian shows this for lows.
Just look at these wind chills it's putting out. 20 below in NC Iowa. Whoa captain!
Needless to say there's some big ticket potential for Monday's weather with snow, wind, and bitter early season cold. More to come that is for sure. Roll weather...TS
JUST 3 SHINY PENNIES...
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