It's a chilly but decent fall day around most of the Midwest. One of those days where it's just perfect for apple or pumpkin picking. The temperatures look like this at noon.

Most areas are down 4 to 8 degrees over the past 24 hours.

The front that's brought the cooling also brought some rain yesterday. A few places up north did see a few snowflakes, sleet, and small hail. A nice variety. Here's the estimates on how much fell.

On the satellite you can see a sun cloud mix prevailing the rest of the day.

A larger view reveals a gathering disturbance in the southwest. That looks to largely remain southeast of my area however late Saturday or Saturday evening it could bring a few showers to parts of SE Iowa and NW Illinois. A close call on that.

The biggest issues going forward are with storminess next week. The EURO shows this for precip. through Halloween.

The GFS has this. One of these models is way off base. No doubt initializing data dramatically different.

Look at the difference this could make with regards to snowfall. The EURO

The GFS

I'll have an update on this later today when the new EURO arrives in a hazardous weather outlook. Meantime, enjoy the afternoon. Friday should be fine day too! Roll weather...TS
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