The data that's come in since my last post shows the hi-res models such as the HRRR and 3k NAM now coming into good agreement with the operational run of the EURO. That gives me high confidence that the accumulating snows late tonight and Wednesday morning will be north of HWY 20. It will be a nice snow up in NE Iowa, southern Minnesota and Wisconsin where a solid 2-4 inches looks good with a few local spots up to 5. Decorah is one of those places that keeps consistently coming in around 5 inches. You go guys! Here are that latest 18z models.
Here's the HRRR
This is the previous run of the HRRR. Notice it cut out the light accumulations it was showing south of HWY 20. So much for that!
The 3K NAM did a similar slice and dice down south and now shows this.
For the time being the atmosphere up north is still saturating but should get there soon and snow will increase rapidly in southern Minnesota and northern Iowa after midnight. The current radar has this for snow returns in that area.
I hate missing out on snow by an hour or two but as the saying goes, life's a B_T_H and then you die. (Just kidding), I've been listening to Christmas music for 3 hours and it's made me feisty. That crazy holiday spirit you know!
By the way, look at this. It's the odds of below normal temperatures November 11-13th.
Much of the Midwest has a 100 percent chance. More on that and some big time cold in my next post. Roll weather...TS
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