© 2019 Terry Swails

November 14, 2019

I've been trying to get a handle on the long range pattern the past few days and I can tell you I'm challenged.Two of the big teleconnective drivers I look at to determine trends are the MJO and the EPO. I'm getting some conflicting signals. Let's start with the MJO.

The MJO (Madden Julien Oscillation) is essentially tied to waves of convective energy (thunderstorm clusters) that travel through the tropical Pacific. The location of the convection...

November 14, 2019

A weak disturbance crossing the Midwest has caused scattered areas of light snow this afternoon and evening. So far the only reports of anything remotely significant have come from the area I thought it would, far NE Iowa and parts of SW Wisconsin. The area near and north of HWY 18 picked up 1 to 2" totals, especially in Clayton and Allamakee Counties. Elsewhere in my region not much more than a dusting has been reported.

Scattered snow showers wi...

November 13, 2019

When I'm wondering about weather folklore and historical events this is the man I go to. With more than 50 years of statistical and observational research, he's the dude! When it comes to lunar cycles, woolly bear caterpillars, insects, bugs, and animals, he tracks them, records them, and establishes ties to weather patterns. He's a knowledgeable and interesting man. His name is Steve Gottschalk by way of Lowden, Iowa. I'm grateful to him for len...

November 13, 2019

PLEASE CONSIDER THE VALUE...

I hope you are aware of how far ahead of the competition TSwails has been in catching the trends of our early winter weather pattern. It takes a heck of a lot of commitment, passion, and knowledge to do that. This is now my job and that's why I'm asking for a voluntary subscription fee of $12 dollars a year, one dollar a month to keep TSwails going. Together we can create one of the best, most unique, and reliable weat...

November 12, 2019

Last night under fair skies, diminishing winds, a snow pack, and a frigid early season air mass, temperatures crashed to record levels around the Midwest. At last report 127 stations had broken record lows around the central U.S. Here's a sampling of cities that either had records or were within 3 degrees.

In Cedar Rapids, our low of 6 below broke ( make that shattered ) the old record of 5 set in 1986. Here's some of the lows in my area.

More lows...

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