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MODELS BEING STUBBORN WITH SNOWFALL FORECASTS...

The 18z suite of models is in and the system for Wednesday evening is still giving models a run for their money. The problems are centered around a narrow band of forcing and snow that's shown developing near or north of HWY 20. All the models except for the EURO have some light accumulations in that part of my area.

Unfortunately, the EURO is usually dialed in at this point in the game (24 hours away). That gives me pause as it is usually money in the bank. It has a drier look and that makes sense given the bone dry air that's currently in place. It's also been consistent. On the other hand, the U.S. models have been fairly staunch in their depictions as well. Here's what I have to figure out as far as model snowfall forecasts go.

THE GFS

The 3k NAM

The 12k NAM