SAME STUFF, DIFFERENT WEEK...
Often this time of year the pattern gets stuck - it's warm, humid and there are periodic chances for rain. This week will be just that. High pressure will be parked over the Great Lakes Monday so it will be another calm, sunny day for much of the Midwest. It will also be another toasty one.
It will be hot and humid with dew points in the 60s and 70s. Then the pattern starts to get more active. An upper level low pressure system will move across the Midwest and will increase the chance for rain starting Tuesday.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be most likely Tuesday night into Wednesday and then once again on Sunday of the upcoming weekend.
Here's a look at 7 day rainfall totals on GFS and European models -
It does seem that Illinois and Missouri are favored for more of the rain, which would bode well for drought stricken areas. Of course the exact placement of the rain will change through the week.
Through the week temperatures will be near average (near 80 degrees) each day. Then there will be a little change over the weekend and into the start of next week with northwest flow setting up.
Due to this, there may be a few days toward the end of August with some below normal temperatures (in the mid 70s). Here's the temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center.
Right now it's just low chances for below normal temperatures, so something to keep an eye on. But otherwise it's just same old same for this week...
RK