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UPDATE...THE NEW EURO, THE MAKINGS OF A MESS

While it is very early and much can change, the trend in models is to develop what could be a significant snow system in the central Midwest next Monday night that could perhaps last into Tuesday night....the potential is there for a fairly long duration event.

I do think the models are on the right track with a storm but they have had their share of problems with phasing this winter. I want to stress we are in the preliminary stages where large variances in track are possible from run to run. These can really alter the location of the heavier snow. What I'm looking for going forward is consistency in amounts, track, position, and timing.

Due to the potential scope of the system I just wanted to give you all a heads up as to what is currently on the table. If we are still seeing a similar scenario at this time Sunday I will be all in. Until then, we wait and see.

Here are some of the early model projections of snowfall. Models are notoriously high on totals at this stage so please keep that in mind. There are going to be changes (be they large or small) in future model depictions.

+++THE NEW EURO DOWN AT 7:00PM

The freshly arrived EURO has this. At least is didn't vanish off the charts yet. A long way to go but a positive step.

The GFS

The EURO

The GEM (Canadian)...this looks way overdone!

Will keep you posted on the latest trends throughout the weekend..Plenty of time to see where this goes.

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Thanks, T. Swails

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