IT IS WHAT IT IS...
To be honest, we are in what could very well be described as an abnormal weather pattern for July, Considerable cloudiness has prevailed, and it seems as if some part of my area sees rain (or a chance of it) almost daily. Temperatures have also been running several degrees below normal. Top it all off with the remnants of a hurricane, and you see my point, this is not the hot, sunny, stable, weather pattern the month is noted for.
While my area avoided most of Beryl's rain, my SE counties did not entirely escape the former hurricane. As you can see on the Doppler estimates, measurable rain was widespread southeast of a line from Macomb to Galesburg. East of Quincy and on to Beardstown, Illinois, 2-4 inch totals were found. Some widely scattered heavy showers also popped up for a time in spotty parts of SE Iowa and other random locations.
In general, the majority of my area did stay dry, but everybody was impacted by Beryl's cloud canopy, which shows up nicely on the satellite. It also held highs down, keeping them confined to the upper 70s to low 80s.
With the hurricane remnants lifting northeast Wednesday, that opens the door to NW flow and a disturbance that digs southeast into the Midwest. This animation shows Beryl lifting into the Great Lakes and Canad, with the new short wave diving in behind it.
It does not appear overly strong, but it will provide the forcing and instability for widely scattered showers once again Wednesday and Thursday. The most opportune time appears to be during the afternoon and evening, centered around peak heating. These again should be spotty and while amounts in most locations should be 1/4 inch or less, a few spots could see 1/2 to 1 inch where thunderstorms pop up. Other's may experience very little. Through Thursday night, can see the random hit-and-miss pockets of rain suggested by the 3k NAM.
The EURO and GFS are not as hi-resolution and smoothing eliminates the more spotty effects of the NAM, making the rain appear more widespread than it is.
The EURO
The GFS
With this type of pattern, there should be many dry hours and even periods of sun. As for temperatures, they remain in check...mainly in the low 80s.
SUMMER SNEAKS IN OVER THE WEEKEND
For a brief time, the upper air flow flattens later in the weekend, allowing a summery surge of warmer air and rather uncomfortable humidity. Saturday the warming commences with highs inching into the mid 80s (perhaps a few upper 80s south). With partly sunny skies, humidity jumps as well.
Sunday is set to be a steamer with dew points, (aided by crop evapotranspiration), set to soar well into the 70s. The GFS has a few dew points, even pushing 80.
With actual temperatures in the range of 90-95, heat index values of 100-104 are possible. Heat headlines are looking likely if we get those juicy dew points. After another sizzling day Monday, a cold front passes Monday evening. There could be a few storms with the front, but for now warm temperatures aloft seem to thwart that prospect through capping. Mesocale details will determine the outcome. The front does take the edge off the heat Tuesday and beyond as the pattern retrogrades to NW flow once again.
There continue to be signs of a more significant shift to heat in the long term, but it does not appear it would happen until July 21st (if it even occurs). The EURO does expand a significant heat dome into the middle of the nation at that time that could get the job done. However, a weakness remains over the Great Lakes that could be just enough to keep the worst of the hot air slightly to the west.
Temperature departures are getting up there by July 23rd. Something to watch.
That's the long and short of it on a hump-day. Have a sensational one and by all means, roll weather...TS
THE REVIEWS ARE SPECTACULAR. OUR AIRBNB IS A MOST LOVED GUEST FAVORITE!
AIRBNB has rated my renovated church in Galena A GUEST FAVORITE, A MOST LOVED home according to visitors. Check out some of our reviews and get in on the flexible deals we have available below.
Christa-Monument, Colorado
The Little White Church is amazing!!!! Pictures do not do it justice. I would absolutely recommend it to my friends and family. It is just so unique. Carolyn is an amazing host and super responsive. I would give our experience 6 out of 5 stars if I could.
Phillip-Queensland, Australia
Amazing and thoughtful renovation. Stayed in a piece of history. Great location and modern amenities. Would stay again!
Jill
The Little White Church is beautiful. The decorations are perfect, and it was redone with impeccable taste. Carolyn was a great host.
Brent
Such a gem. Relaxing in the countryside in a historic church that was beautifully decorated and recently renovated was exactly what we experienced. Everyone loved our stay, and we will be back!!!
Leigh
Beautiful and unique. We were all captivated by the adorable chapel turned AIRBNB
Jenny-Frisco, Texas
It was a magical place for our family to celebrate Christmas!
Kelly
What a gem! The Little White Church exceeded our expectations. It was the perfect spot to meet up with another couple to relax and explore nearby Galena. We enjoyed the beautiful great room with its fireplace and amazing views of the rolling countryside. (The photos simply can't do it justice). The charming church/home was quiet, well appointed and clean. And Carolyn was proactive with instructions and a terrific communicator. We will definitely be back!
John
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Tori-Cedar Falls
This place is so beautiful! Carolyn and Terry were so thoughtful and kind to let us have our wedding at the church. They even provided extra supplies in case we needed them. The private garden worked perfectly for our ceremony, and the backyard easily fit our reception needs. Not to mention, the balconies make perfect photo spots! My husband and I recommend the Little White Church and will be telling all our friends about it.
Mahesh-Buffalo Grove
Carolyn was a great host, very flexible! The place is super clean, spacious with a private backyard overlooking the fields and bluffs! We spent a lot of time on the deck. Great kitchen, clean bedrooms and baths. Highly recommend the place.
William
Great place. Great host. Will definitely book again and tell our friends.