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CONSIDER THE VALUE continues to be a leader in catching and forecasting the trends of our extreme weather pattern the past few weeks. It takes a great deal of commitment, passion, and knowledge to stay on top of the swings. Now that I'm no longer in television, this is my job and that's the reason I'm asking for a voluntary subscription fee of $12 dollars a year, one dollar a month to keep TSwails going. Together we can create one of the best, most unique, and reliable weather sites in the Midwest. Your contribution of 3 cents a day, allows me to stay free of the corporate world and pour my energy into doing what I do best, forecasting the weather! We hope you see the value and hard work that goes into the site everyday. Your support in any way is sincerely appreciated. Thanks and roll weather. To donate click on the secure green box below.


Santa Claus is coming to town soon and so are some mild temperatures. I would have to say, chances of a white Christmas this year are pretty much in the toilet. If that makes you jolly, good for you. Not the way I like mine and once again I'm pouting. Bah humbug, what a bunch of rubbish!

So, if you can't beat em, join em! Since it's going to be mild I might as well throw in the towel and enjoy what's coming. With that philosophy in mind I'm hoping for sunny and 75. Not going to get it but a couple days in the 50s and many in the 40s sure looks possible. Here is what the Climate Prediction Center is forecasting for temperatures December 22-28th.

In 5 day increments temperature departures look like this


December 17-22

December 22-27th

December 27-January 1.

Just for kicks, here's what the EURO has for highs Christmas Day. The GFS is quite a bit cooler than this but I suspect it's rushing the cold back in too soon. A known bias of the model.

You can see the reason for the wamth in the forecast position of the 500mb upper air pattern Christmas Eve day. The door to cold is solidly closed.

The trough you see out west makes a move on the Midwest the 26th or 27th and that will bring a more active brand of weather following the holidays. Up until then the GFS and EURO both do not show any measurable precipitation from now through Christmas night.

The EURO precip. forecast today through December 25th.

The GFS for the same period.

You can see how much of the central US will be good for holiday traveling with dry conditions showing up in the precipitation departures through Christmas.

Here's a closer view with specific values of precipitation departures.

There's not much to say up to December 25th other than temperatures look mild and conditions dry. Perfect for those of you who will be on the road. A brown Christmas, grrrrrr...nobody writes Christmas songs about that. Roll weather...TS


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