EVENING STORM UPDATE...
- 8 minutes ago
- 3 min read
A SINCERE AND HOPEFUL MESSAGE
Friends and lovers of weather, it's imperative that you know I must reach my financial goal or it's time for me to hang it up after 50 years. I'm doing the best I can here to win your support, and rest assured there is no pleasure in asking for money. I get that its hard times and that's why I'm doing all I can to keep TSwails a no pay site. No matter what, I'm here through December, but the 14th year beyond is dependant on you. If you can help my cause, I'm making a humble plea for anything you can swing, it all adds up. Im $2,790 dollars (or 84% from my goal). Last but not least, I earnestly thank the 307 amazing individuals who have made such gracious contributions. You are all true treasures! Roll weather...TS
THE STORM IS UPON US...
The deepening storm is advancing across northern Missouri on its way towards southeast Iowa, expected to pass close to the Quad Cities during the late evening hours. The latest radar shows heavy snow falling in central Iowa with the rain snow-line east of Des Moines and Marshalltown and Waterloo. Rain and a few thunderstorms are developing ahead of warm front advancing towards the Iowa Missouri border. That will end soon if it already hasn't from the Quad Cities south.
With the track of the storm through SE Iowa into NC Illinois, the heavier precipitation will fall from the Quad Cities northwest in what's known as the deformation band. Much lighter amounts will be found southeast of the Quad Cities due to the dry slot near and east of the storm track. Any snow will be found over my far NW counties, especially north of a line from Cedar Rapids to Dubuque after midnight.
The evening runs of the HRRR and EURO show this for total precipitation through Friday morning. Had the storm tracked 100 miles further southeast all of that much needed precipitation would have soaked my local area.
The EURO
The HRRR
Snow of any consequence, as mentioned above, will be confined to the far northwest. The EURO shows this but may be on the heavy side locally.
The HRRR, a convectively allowing hi-res model run every hour is lighter and I suspect might have the right idea, especially with the initially warm conditions and a slightly further track to the NW. I'm thinking 1-2 (maybe 3) inches of wet snow north of that line from Cedar Rapids to Dubuque.
The NWS does have winter storm warnings out for my counties from Waterloo to Dubuque for 4-8". I could see that from Manchester west to Waterloo and beyond. I have my doubts about Delaware and especially Dubuque counties reaching warning thresholds.
Anyway, the storm takes its remaining precipitation in the form of snow showers out of the region Friday morning. Travel may be impacted for a time due to snow and wind in the far northwest. It will turn sharply colder in all locations with temperatures holding in the upper 20s to low 30s with wind chills of 8 to 16 degrees north to south. Roll weather....TS ON A SERIOUS NOTE, IF I CAN'T MEET MY FINANCIAL GOALS, THIS WILL BE THE LAST YEAR OF THE SITE. IF YOU LIKE THE CONTENT, THE FUTURE IS UP TO YOU. T.S. 84% to my goal.
