IRISH LUCK, A WEE BIT EARLY...
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IRISH LUCK, A WEE BIT EARLY...
The luck of the Irish (or something similar) was with us early this March as a healthy late winter storm spins by just to the east. The sytem has defied prediction for several days with the the EURO showing this for snow just 2 days ago.
Now we are down to this, the old nothing burger.
As I say every time with closed systems coming out of the southwest, phasing between the northern and southern stream jets is always a challenge for models to resolve. It often results in headaches. This situation was no different, not showing its hand until late in the game. In the end, the phasing was slower and further east keeping the track to the southeast and sparing us a heavy wet snow.
While my far southeastern counties may get in on some light rain which quickly transitions to snow Friday, amounts are likely to be minimal, a dusting at best. The rest of us will see a blustery raw day with highs mainly in the low 40s. Here's what the latest models are depicting for snow accumulations.
The EURO
The GFS
Further east, the snow won't be so light in parts of northeast Illinois where 2-8 inches+ are possible. Chicago which appeared in the heart of the storm yesterday is now on the fringe of it, although 2-4" amounts are looking likely, heaviest on the south side. From there into northern Indiana and southeast Michigan, winter storm warnings are now in effect. Aside from the snowy aspect of the storm, heavy rains further south could cause flooding and flood watches are out from Missouri all the way to Ohio.
These are the precipitation totals suggested. Some real soakers not far off to the southeast.
The EURO
The GFS
Following the storms departure, the coming weekend will be a keeper. Under a mix of sun and clouds it looks relatively mild by early March standards. Highs will range from the mid 40s north to the mid 50s south of I-80. Sunday night a few showers could sneak into the picture as a week disturbance approaches from the west. Ahead of it Monday another spring-like day is anticipated with highs in the mid to upper 50s in most areas.
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