STEADY AS SHE GOES...
Despite minimal rain last week the latest drought index has not showed much change. Last weeks cool temperature kept evaporation levels low and that no doubt helped our cause. You can see the current conditions compared to last week on the first two lines of the chart on the right. It is concerning to see so much dryness going into the time of year where temperatures are peaking and rains become more scattered.
What you saw Friday is what you get Saturday as temperatures again peak near 90. Along with more sunshine will come tolerable dew points but the numbers will begin to inch up and we'll eventually get into the muggy stuff summer is known for Monday.
In fact, by that time water vapor is shown soaring to levels near 1.80" on the EURO. That will generate dew points in the low 70s which will get the sweat glands flowing, especially with temperatures remaining in the mid to perhaps upper 80s.
That will drive instability and CAPE, and while not exceptional it will be sufficient for widely scattered showers and storms once convective temperatures are reached in the afternoon hours. They will be of the hit and miss variety and will quickly wane in the evening as the sun sets.