WHERE FOR ART THOU SPRING...
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WHERE FOR ART THOU SPRING...
The fickle month known as March is renowned for its manic personality. It giveth and it taketh away. I've seen it all from blizzards and tornadoes, to floods, sub-zero cold, and heat waves. In the Quad Cities (Moline) the temperature was as warm as 88 in 1986 to as cold as 19 below in 1960 (a nice little range of 107 degrees).
Thursday was on the wintry side with much of the region enjoying the trimmings of a sticky wet snow. Here's where advisories and warnings were ultimately issued as I suggested they would be.
Much of my area north of HWY 34 had 2-6" snow totals. That was my expectation all along and I'm pleased the way that turned out. Here's some preliminary totals. There will be spots with a bit more when the final tallies are announced.
An expanded perspective showing the flakes were flying over a large chunk of Midwest real estate
For the winter as a whole these are the seasonal snow accumulations across the country. La Nina's are normally good snow producers across the north and that has certainly been the case this year
Due to all the snow and its related moisture content, the latest spring flood outlook issued Thursday now calls for well above normal chances of flooding on the Mississippi. Increased odds were also noted on tributaries in my area. Because of the high threat, a previously unscheduled outlook will be issued by hydrologists March 23rd. I will touch more on the flooding potential in my next post.
A SHORT BREATHER...
With the storm behind us Friday it appears a mostly cloudy day is in order. Temperatures in snow covered areas will remain in the low to mid 30s with a brisk NW wind. Spots in the far south may approach 40. Overall, it will be a raw day. The short breather lasts most of Saturday before another snow system arrives late in the day into Saturday night.
This is sort of a unique set-up in that tandom lows (one in Minnesota, the other in Oklahoma) will work in tandom to enhance moisture and lift. A broad area of overrunning precipitation, mainly snow for my area (perhaps a mix at times in the far south) is expected to develop.The U.S. models, as they often tend to be are more robust with precipitation amounts of .20-.40". The EURO is significantly less at .20" or less. Either way it's enough to crank out another 1-4" of snow depending on the model of your choice. Placement is still underway but we should have a better handle on that later Friday. Here's what models are suggesting for totals.
The GFS
The EURO
The 3k NAM
The 12k NAM
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COOL BUT CALM WEATHER AHEAD...
Following this disturbance, the overall pattern relaxes for much of next week. That should keep things dry for several days. Temperatures are expected to remain on the cool side of the ledger the majority of the next 2 weeks. Here are the 10 day average temperature departures for the period ending March 19th. Not a lot of spring as you can see.
The GFS
The EURO
In search of spring I went to the EURO weeklies issued Thursday and over the next 32 days it shows average daily temperature departures that are below normal across much of the nation.
The next 32 days the weeklies means show this for snowfall.
Needless to say I did not find a great deal of spring in that run of the weeklies. On the bright side, we're a third of the way through March and that sun is getting stronger by the day. It's just a matter of time before it gets the job done! Happy Friday and roll weather...TS
