Late Thursday into early Friday morning we got our welcomed first dose of rainfall that thankfully came without much fanfare, just a beneficial drink of water. Unfortunately while more rain is coming, the likelihood that it comes with severe weather is increasing with severe weather outlooks plastered to start early next week Monday through Wednesday. Eyes are particularly on Tuesday as of now, more on that in a moment. Analysis shows as expected a widespread 1-1.5" rain even

Our active pattern is moving into the region starting Thursday evening and night as the first of a few storm systems bring the risk of widespread showers and thunderstorms. The severe weather is very limited, but locally heavy rain is likely especially with training thunderstorms along/north of a boundary that is projected to stall to the south. The heaviest rain appears to fall along/north of the Iowa/Missouri border region. High resolution modeling continues to have a wides

A rather classic spring-like pattern is taking over the Midwest as we head closer to the weekend which will feature some big temperature swings, threat for heavy rain and some breezy conditions. Wednesday will be the start of this pattern which will feature strong warm air advection with windy conditions followed by a chance for scattered showers and storms. The first bigger hit of heavy rain comes Thursday night into Friday morning as a stalled boundary is the focus for thun

There's no doubt the worst of winter is well behind us. But, the cat and mouse game of two steps forward, one step back, is still very much an issue from time to time as we get these late season cold shots to ponder. The one that's over us right now is not for the faint of heart and the folks in the SW third of Iowa will attest to that Tuesday morning. Snow, (up to 6 inches of it) is projected making travel hazardous and creating a winter wonderland. The disturbance that caus

Models continue to indicate a rather high probability of well above normal precipitation over the next week and a half across the central US as a storm track sets up from the Southern Plains through the Great Lakes region. American Ensembles have rainfall running more than 1.5" above normal for this time of year which is quite a strong signal. The first bout of rainfall looks to roll in Thursday/Friday of this week with chances continuing into early next week. Analogs are add