OCTOBER COMING IN LIKE A LION....
October is here and it's not typically a month we talk about the threat of heavy rains. In fact, this is the time of year that the average precipitation per month really starts to go down. Here's an example using Cedar Rapids. Most of the Upper Midwest averages around 2-3 inches of rain in October, which is about an inch lower than September. However this past September was very wet and many locations saw their wettest September ever. You can see the entire Midwest was above
A CHILL IN THE AIR... FOR NOW
If you've been outside the last few days, well it feels as if we've entered fall. However, it's not here to stay just yet. It did get quite chilly Saturday morning though. Here are the low temperatures around my local area - Afternoon temperatures just climbed into the 50s (15-20 degrees below normal for this time of year). These temperatures are more typical of late October to early November. So... of course it's not going to stick. Temperatures will be warming up as we get
BUILD THE ARK....NOW!
The latest runs of the GFS and EURO are very ominous depicting extremely heavy rains for some part of the Midwest in the coming 10 days. Sub-soil moisture is far above normal and rivers and streams are already at unusually high levels for the time of year. The potential is increasing for more flooding near and downstream of the where the heaviest rains set-up. Here's the latest rainfall forecast off the EURO. Now the GFS Both models depict 10" bullseye's but in different area
RAIN, RAIN GO AWAY....
Far too frequently we've been talking talking about how unusually wet and soggy the weather has been over the central Midwest. September has had more than its share of deluges and the numbers are telling. Much of northern Iowa, southern Minnesota, and SW Wisconsin are having one of their wettest September's. Here's a remarkable statistic. In Waterloo, Iowa the rainfall total for this September is now the largest on record for the site for any month! The 12.89 inches this Sept
WET BEHIND THE EARS....
Friday is shaping up to be a pretty ugly day around much of the central Midwest with showers, clouds, and very cool temperatures. Highs are not likely to get out of the upper 40s to low 50s according to the latest model guidance. Here's what the GFS has for daytime highs. Other models are even cooler! The showers that occur Friday are expected to be light with the highest totals not much more than 1/10". Friday night skies clear and scattered frost is still a good possibility