A CALM, COOL AND QUIET STRETCH

Breezy northwest winds continue across the region into Monday as dry and cool air pours in with temperatures running quite below normal for this time of year. Gusts could top 15-20mph through the afternoon Monday with highs topping out in the upper 60s to low 70s. Quite the autumn feel!

High pressure takes over Tuesday morning and that continues to be the coolest morning in this stretch. Record-low temperatures are forecast for areas like Omaha, Kansas City, St. Louis and Springfield (Illinois) based on current forecasts. Frost will be likely well to the north across northern Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan.

A weak disturbance is forecast to pass through the region Wednesday and there's a chance for a few showers. The American GFS is the most aggressive with this feature, but even that will be just a few tenths at best for rain.

GFS

Euro

The GFS has around a quarter of an inch across northeast Iowa and far northwest Illinois while the European shows just a few hundredths of an inch. Overall nothing that will have a major impact on things this week other than an increase in cloud cover. The Euro is a little later with the potential rain chance, keeping it more into Thursday instead. Just watching this feature closely for any rain chances.

Temperatures continue to remain on the cooler side of normal going forward with a slow trend upward for the Quad Cities region. Highs back near 80 are looking likely by the first couple of days of September. Not really much to discuss in the short term.

Looking long term, the overall pattern likely continues to favor near-to-below normal temperatures. Yesterday it looked like the pattern might flip warmer, but now not so much. The European Ensemble continues to favor northwest flow by the first full week of September. I would not be surprised if we trend back towards a (slightly) warmer pattern earlier in September.

So, overall, the pattern continues to be quite uneventful in the short and long term with not a whole lot to discuss. Have a great week everyone!

-Meteorologist Nick Stewart