ICE STORM EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...
I STILL NEED A BIT MORE HELP TO MEET MY FUNDRASING GOALS...
Hi everyone, as you know, TSwails.com is a no-pay site; we exist on what I call voluntary subscriptions or personal donations. Every year I ask those of you who find value in the site to make the financial donation you feel is worthy. Your contribution, whatever you can swing, supports the content, infrastructure, and operational costs of TSwails.com. I'm currently at only 70 precent of my financial needs. To read more about my story and make a donation, CLICK HERE Thanks, it's a pleasure to serve you!
ICE STORM ON THE WAY FOR THE NORTH....
For the past week I've been touting the potential for an ice storm in the northern sections of my area and it now appears the threat is about to become reality. The NWS has issued ice storm warnings for the northern tier of my counties that parallel HWY 20. This area is likely to see significant ice accretions of 1/2 to 1/2 inch. Further south, enough ice, (1/10th of an inch) is expected to warrant winter weather advisories near and north of I-80. The warning and advisory go into effect at 9:00am Wednesday and are scheduled to expire at 6:00pm Thursday.
The icing is not expected to develop until Wednesday morning and could be an issue into the day Thursday. The critical ingredient will be temperatures which are projected to hover near of just below freezing through that period, especially in the area closer to HWY 20. Further south, readings may go just above freezing for a period or two which potentially will alleviate some of the worst conditions near and south of HWY 30. A slight shift in the track could alter the freezing line and its impacts north or south in the coming 24 hours.
A real concern is the projected winds which could reach 35-40 mph out of the east southeast. In spots that do experience significant glazing power outages are possible due to the winds, especially in the far north. Travel is likely to become very hazardous in untreated areas, that includes sidewalks and driveways.
These are the odds of experiencing icing of .01" or greater. The pinks are where those 1/4 to 1/2" accretions are expected Wedneday and Wednesday night.
Here's what models are currently indicating for ice accumulations.
The Canadian HRDPS
The 12k NAM
The national model blend.
Further south a moisture rich environment wil foster heavy rain where temperatures remain warmer and above the freezing mark. Thunderstorms are also on the table along with a slight risk of some excessive rains in my far southeastern counties into central Illinois.
Here's what models are suggesting for rain totals for the entire event.
The 3k NAM
The Canadian 10k GEM
Issues remain minimal tonight as my area awaits the primary ejection of energy Wednesday out of the southwest. There's likely to be some adjustments to the ice accumulation amounts and positioning as we get a better handle on where the freezing line lays out in coming hours and models. Meantime carry on and roll weather...TS
FLASH SALE ALERT...
BEST DEAL OF THE MONTH AT THE CHURCH. I still have the coming weekend open at my Airbnb just north of Galena. You can get 2 nights (Friday and Saturday) for the price of one. Plus, due to the short notice I will take an extra $100 off the price. The total cost is $400 dollars for Friday and Saturday night, a savings of $600 bucks off the high season cost (as good as you'll ever get it). Seriously, this is a fabulous deal for all that you get. Plus, the weather looks good. Split the cost with another couple or some friends and get out of dodge. Call Carolyn at 563-676-3320 or send her an e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org This is a first come first serve deal. Click the link for pictures. https://www.tswails.com/galena-airbnb