3 OUT OF 5 AIN'T BAD...
We've talked a lot lately about how rain (too much and too little) has impacted the central Midwest. Even though some rain has fallen the past 5 days, many of my southern counties continue with significant yearly rainfall deficits.
Going forward a system with widespread rainfall potential will cross the region over the next 24 hours. I've looked at numerous models and there is a tendency for most to indicate some beneficial amounts.
That said, rain and especially convection is known for being spotty and banded, especially this time of year. Aside from that, outflow boundaries and debris clouds can displace the heavier totals south. For that reason, I can't say everybody will get that soaking rain they need but I am pretty confident that many of you will get a nice rain.
Here's some rainfall forecasts that lead to my optimism. First the GFS
Now, a regional perspective.
Here's the EURO with the same 2 perspectives.
Here's the hi-res 3k NAM