ON THE VERGE OF SOMETHING BIG...

Spring officially starts March 20th and if it's a typical March there's a reasonable chance we'll have a 70 degree high by the time the month ends (most certainly a 60 degree day). To that end, both the GEFS and EURO EPS ensembles are pointing at March 16th or 17th for that possibility. Here's what the 500mb jet looks like on both models around that time frame. A nice mild ridge poking into the Midwest.

The EPS

The GEFS

The EPS ensemble composed of 51 members has this for temperature anomalies Friday the 16th.

The operational run of the EURO has a pair of 56 degree highs the 15th and 16th pointing to what could be a 60 degree day the 17th.

The ensembles of the GEFS has this for temperature anomalies Friday night the 16th.

The operational run of the EURO has a 71 degree day Friday the 16th.