MY ADVICE, ENJOY THE WARMTH....

Before I get to the lean meat of this post just wanted to show this from the Iowa Mesonet. It's the amount of Iowa that's snow covered as of January 2nd. Less than 20% of the state has an inch on the ground and by Saturday that number could be reduced to zero with the unseasonal warmth that's predicted.

Look at the highs the EURO is calling for Saturday. The January thaw comes early this year.

Be that as it may, if you saw my post Thursday you know that I am still bullish on a winter comeback towards mid-January. I was pleased to see that the new EURO Weeklies are on board with my assessment of the teleconnections and drivers. Here's what it shows for temperature departures in weekly increments through February 14th. Readings remain mild through the 17th and then tank the next 4 weeks. This is a dramatic change if it comes to pass.

January 10-17

January 17-24

January 24-31

February 1-7

February 7-14

Here's the 500mb jet stream forecasts over the same periods. The common denominator is the change to a ridge over the west and a trough over the central and east. Albeit late, that's the look of the pattern I was anticipating much of winter.

January 10-17

January 17-24

January 24-31

February 1-7