HEAVY SNOW UPDATE

LIVE WINTER STORM BRIEFING FRIDAY AT 8:00PM

Friday evening at 8:00, myself and meteorologist Nick Stewart will do a special Facebook live briefing on the holiday weekend storm which will be knocking on the door. We'll have the latest warnings, watches, and snowfall trends. Join us Friday night for an in depth perspective on the storm you won't find anywhere else. TS

Our winter storm is beginning to show its hand, with snow breaking out across western Iowa. At its current pace, it should be near the Mississippi by midnight and the rest of my eastern counties by 2:00am. This is radar at 3:30pm.

Winter storm warnings go into effect tonight and remain in place through Saturday night.

Several new models have recently dropped and overall there is good consistency with potential amounts and their location. Confidence is high that amounts of 9–12 inches will fall over much of the area, with some areas seeing as much as 13–14 inches where banding occurs. The far south may see a dry slot that limits totals there to 6 or 7 inches. That looks to be well south of Burlington.

Here's the NWS official snowfall forecast.

Here's the latest models available since my last post.

The EURO

The GFS

The 3k NAM

The 12k NAM

The HRRR

THE NBMv5 a blend of 30 models and ensembles.

In summation, with the storm knocking on the door is that this is as high a confidence forecast due to excellent consistency in model guidance. It's almost time to play ball. Don't forget the Facebook live briefing at 8:00pm with meteorologist Nick Stewart. You will not find anything more in depth than what we'll drop on you! Roll weather...TS